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British Pound/U.S. Dollar (^GBPUSD)

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British Pound/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Weakens as T-note Yields Fall and Stocks Rally

The dollar index (DXY00) Friday fell by -0.31%.  The dollar was under pressure Friday from lower T-note yields. Also, the strength in stocks Friday reduced liquidity demand for the dollar.  Friday’s US housing news was mixed for T-notes as Sep housing starts were stronger than expected, but Sep building permits were weaker than expected. 

US Sep housing starts fell -0.5% m/m to 1.354 million, stronger than expectations of 1.350 million. Sep building permits, a proxy for future construction, fell -2.9% m/m to 1.428 million, weaker than expectations of 1.460 million.

Comments on Friday from Atlanta Fed President Bostic were slightly hawkish and supportive for the dollar when he said he's "in no rush to get to neutral on Fed policy as we must get inflation back to our 2% target, and he doesn't want us to get to a place where inflation stalls out because we haven't been restrictive for long enough."

The markets are discounting the chances at 95% for a -25 bp rate cut a... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 15, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
54,936 (+607)
154,384 (-7,953)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
151,923 (-5,743)
66,121 (+1,590)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
7,197 (+1,591)
92,114 (-7,217)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
95,635 (+391)
86,045 (+2,693)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
86,670 (-9,424)
27,892 (-2,342)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
6,717 (+1,803)
3,814 (unch)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.29742 +0.60%
on 10/17/24
1.34343 -2.85%
on 09/26/24
-0.01609 (-1.22%)
since 09/18/24
3-Month
1.26651 +3.05%
on 08/08/24
1.34343 -2.85%
on 09/26/24
+0.01081 (+0.84%)
since 07/18/24
52-Week
1.20696 +8.14%
on 10/26/23
1.34343 -2.85%
on 09/26/24
+0.09120 (+7.51%)
since 10/18/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.31442
2nd Resistance Point 1.31074
1st Resistance Point 1.30797
Last Price 1.30520
1st Support Level 1.30152
2nd Support Level 1.29784
3rd Support Level 1.29507

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52-Week High 1.34343
Last Price 1.30520
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.29130
Fibonacci 50% 1.27520
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.25909
52-Week Low 1.20696

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